ANALYSIS

Fire weather monitoring
(Periodic data)


In this section, various products are generated to track daily, monthly, seasonal and annual weather variables and FWI indices across Canada, calculated from hourly variables from the ERA5 reanalysis. The products are derived from analyses that were first conducted for each grid point of approximately 31 km resolution (native ERA5 resolution) covering all of Canada's land surfaces.

Weather fields and anomalies


This section provides maps of monthly, seasonal, or annual meteorological fields or indices (left panel) and anomaly (absolute, relative or standardized by standard deviation) values of these fields or indices relative to normal values (reference period 1991 to 2020; right panel). The maps are produced at a spatial resolution of approximately 31 km and their extent covers all of Canada's land mass.

A positive anomaly indicates a value higher than the normal value, while a negative anomaly indicates a value below the normal value. The absolute anomaly provides the deviation from the normal value in number of units, the unit corresponding to that of the variable or index in question. The relative anomaly provides the relative deviation from the normal value as a percentage (%). The standardised anomaly is the deviation from the normal value where the deviation is standardised by the standard deviation of the climatology or reference period. It allows to compare anomalies between variables or indices, without regard to the variability specific to each variable and therefore has no units as such. Further details are provided in the "Methodology" section.

Using the interactive menu, please select, in order, the daily variable or index, the time scale to which the variable or index is summarized (monthly, seasonal or annual), the statistic calculated on the daily variable or index for the selected period (e.g. monthly maximum or minimum), the year (from 2015 to today) and the month or season, where applicable. The last button allows you to select the type of anomaly shown in the right-hand panel.


    Variable / Index
Frequency
Statistic Freq.
    Year
Month / Season
    Anomaly





Boxplots


In this section, the statistical distributions of monthly, seasonal or annual meteorological fields or FWI indices, calculated for a given territory, are represented using box plots. This type of graphical representation allows to quickly show the extreme values for a month/season/year (values outside the boundaries of the box plots), the first and third quartiles (values given by the boundaries of the box plots) as well as the median of the distribution (black line inside the box plot). The time series for the analyses are from 1950 to the present, except for the SWEmean variable, where the period considered is from 1979 to the present, due to some outliers obtained from 1950 to 1978 (large positive anomalies with respect to the normal for most years).

The proposed figures show in particular the 10 years with the most exceptional values, in relation to the risk of forest fires (the lowest values, in the case of precipitation and snow, and the highest values in the case of FWI indices and temperature variables). In addition, the value of the last year compiled is displayed in red.

Using the interactive menu, please select in order, the type of variables (weather variables or FWI indices), the time scale on which the variables or indices are summarized (monthly, seasonal or annual), the month or season, where applicable, and the type and name of the area of interest.



    Variables / Indices
Frequency
Month / Season
    Area type
Area name